A tropical depression currently tracking south of Fiji has weakened and is unlikely to develop into a tropical cyclone in the next 24 hours, according to the latest weather analysis.
Tropical Depression TD10F was moving south-southeast at about 16 knots at 6am today.
Forecasters say the system has shown signs of weakening over the past six hours, with reduced thunderstorm activity and poor organisation.
TD10F has also moved into an area of moderate to high wind shear, which is expected to limit further development.
While some favourable conditions remain, including warm sea surface temperatures of around 28 degrees Celsius and good upper-level outflow, the system is being affected by dry air intrusion from the southwest. This is expected to further suppress cloud formation and intensification.
Weather models indicate the system will continue moving southwards with only slight strengthening expected over the next day.
However, the overall likelihood of TD10F developing into a tropical cyclone remains low to very low within the next 24 hours.
Authorities continue to monitor the system closely, but no immediate threat of cyclone formation has been identified at this stage.


