La Niña conditions currently in place are expected to bring increased rainfall across parts of Fiji in the weeks and months ahead, according to the latest Early Action Rainfall Watch (EAR Watch).
Issued on February 10, the EAR Watch provides guidance to the Fiji National Disaster Management Office and disaster management stakeholders on recent rainfall trends and expected conditions, helping authorities plan early preparedness actions.
The outlook shows a medium chance of very wet conditions between February 15 and 28 for Nacocolevu, the Coral Coast and interior areas of Viti Levu.
In contrast, Rotuma is forecast to experience a medium chance of very dry conditions during the same period, with no extreme alerts issued for other parts of the country.
For February overall, very wet conditions are likely along the Ba to Nacocolevu corridor, the Coral Coast, interior Viti Levu, the Mamanuca Group, Lakeba, Ono-i-Lau and parts of the northern and southern Lau Group.
Looking further ahead to March 2026, the EAR Watch indicates a high chance of very wet conditions for Ono-i-Lau.
A medium chance of very wet conditions is forecast for the Dobuilevu to Nacocolevu corridor, Mamanuca Group, interior Viti Levu, Navua, Koronivia, Nausori, parts of Labasa, Matuku, Totoya, Lakeba and sections of the Lau Group. No extreme rainfall alert is in place for the rest of Fiji.
Meteorological authorities say La Niña typically increases rainfall across Fiji, raising the risk of flooding, landslips and disruptions, particularly in low-lying and flood-prone communities.
Disaster management officials are advising communities to remain vigilant, monitor weather updates closely and take early action to reduce risks as wetter-than-normal conditions persist under La Niña.
