Fiji’s sugarcane growing regions are expected to receive significant rainfall over the coming months, according to the latest sugar seasonal outlook released by Fiji Met.
The forecast indicates that during March 2026, there is a 75 percent chance of receiving 250–300mm of rainfall from Olosara to Penang, while areas such as Meigunyah, Natova, Mota and Dobuilevu, along with much of the sugarcane belt in Vanua Levu, could receive 300–400mm.
For April 2026, there is also a 75 percent probability of receiving 100–150mm of rainfall from Olosara to Tavua, 150–200mm in Penang, and 200–250mm in Dobuilevu and across the sugarcane belt in Vanua Levu.
The outlook for May 2026 suggests a reduction in rainfall in parts of the Western Division, with 0–25mm expected in Lomawai, Malolo, Nadi, Lautoka, Lovu and Drasa.
Other cane-growing areas such as Olosara, Cuvu, Meigunyah, Natova and Tavua may receive 25–50mm, while Penang and parts of Vanua Levu could receive 50–100mm. Dobuilevu is forecast to receive the highest rainfall for the month, with 100–150mm.
Looking at the broader April to June 2026 period, there is a 75 percent chance of receiving 200–300mm of rainfall from Olosara to Tagitagi, 300–400mm in areas including Rarawai, Koronubu, Navatu, Vatukoula, Tavua and Penang, and 400–500mm in Dobuilevu and most sugarcane-growing areas of Vanua Levu.
Climate experts say a weak La Niña event is currently underway but is expected to shift toward ENSO-neutral conditions from March onwards. However, its effects may continue for several months due to delayed atmospheric response.
Fiji also remains within its wet and tropical cyclone season, with forecasts indicating the country could experience one to two tropical cyclones, including the possibility of one severe system reaching Category 3 to 5 intensity.
