Otago University has just started the painstaking work of cross-referencing 40,000 head impacts recorded on specialist mouthguards with 400 hours of video footage in a ground-breaking study that is likely to change rugby’s understanding of head injuries and may even change World Rugby policy.
The enormous study, in collaboration with World Rugby, New Zealand Rugby and Otago Rugby, has now collected head impact data from 623 athletes, male and female, ranging from the under-13 grades to “about 20 or 30” Otago NPC players, Otago University’s Melanie Bussey told Stuff.
The scale and complexity of the study is enormous, but as four researchers begin verifying the mouthguard data and the video footage, Bussey is already excited by the treasure trove of information they have gathered, particularly as it may challenge ideas about what constitutes a light or heavy head impact.
“And, in the midst of our video verifying we’re also doing systematic verification. So, when we see an athlete who looks symptomatic on the field, we’ll be documenting that as well and feeding that into our algorithms.
The mouthguards – made by Prevent Biometrics – detect and collect the forces the head is being subjected to in rugby. The study covered match and training scenarios, which could allow World Rugby to also make a determination about the effect of cumulative head impacts, Bussey said,
Otago University hopes to deliver their findings to World Rugby in the first quarter of 2022, and Bussey admits it’s something of a “voyage of discovery” for the researchers, whose job is to simply “to follow what the data tells us”.
The findings have the potential to be challenging for the game, and World Rugby. Concussion – and potential impact it has on later life – is arguably an existential threat for the game, and certainly one that weighs on the minds of parents as they make sports participation decisions for their children.
Yet, Bussey, says, World Rugby has taken a light-touch approach to the research, and hasn’t tried to “push the data to be something that it may or may not be”.
“It’s a collaboration with World Rugby and it’s been quite refreshing in a lot of ways,” she said. “They have been quite open with allowing us to just go with what we’re doing.
The decisions World Rugby could make with the studies findings could range from rule changes to further guidelines on training loads.
More than half of the study participants are female, so the conclusions will also apply to the fast-growing women’s game, as well as the amateur, semi-professional, and professional ranks.